Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.000121 0.000133 0.000147 0.000162 0.000180 0.000199 0.000221
2025-07-06 0.000093 0.000110 0.000130 0.000155 0.000186 0.000222 0.000267
2025-07-13 0.000079 0.000099 0.000124 0.000156 0.000198 0.000250 0.000323
2025-07-20 0.000071 0.000092 0.000120 0.000158 0.000211 0.000281 0.000383
2025-07-27 0.000063 0.000085 0.000114 0.000157 0.000218 0.000303 0.000434
2025-08-03 0.000058 0.000081 0.000112 0.000159 0.000230 0.000333 0.000498
2025-08-10 0.000052 0.000075 0.000107 0.000157 0.000234 0.000352 0.000548
2025-08-17 0.000048 0.000070 0.000103 0.000156 0.000239 0.000371 0.000601
2025-08-24 0.000044 0.000066 0.000099 0.000153 0.000242 0.000387 0.000649
2025-08-31 0.000040 0.000061 0.000093 0.000148 0.000240 0.000395 0.000686
2025-09-07 0.000037 0.000058 0.000091 0.000148 0.000247 0.000418 0.000750
2025-09-14 0.000036 0.000057 0.000090 0.000150 0.000257 0.000448 0.000831
2025-09-21 0.000033 0.000053 0.000087 0.000147 0.000258 0.000463 0.000887
2025-09-28 0.000030 0.000049 0.000081 0.000141 0.000253 0.000466 0.000922
2025-10-05 0.000028 0.000047 0.000080 0.000141 0.000261 0.000494 0.001014
2025-10-12 0.000027 0.000046 0.000079 0.000143 0.000272 0.000530 0.001126
2025-10-19 0.000025 0.000044 0.000077 0.000142 0.000276 0.000554 0.001215
2025-10-26 0.000024 0.000043 0.000076 0.000144 0.000288 0.000592 0.001346
2025-11-02 0.000023 0.000041 0.000074 0.000143 0.000290 0.000612 0.001434
2025-11-09 0.000021 0.000039 0.000072 0.000141 0.000293 0.000635 0.001534
2025-11-16 0.000020 0.000037 0.000069 0.000139 0.000294 0.000650 0.001617
2025-11-23 0.000019 0.000035 0.000066 0.000134 0.000290 0.000656 0.001674
2025-11-30 0.000018 0.000034 0.000065 0.000135 0.000296 0.000686 0.001806